Africa in Transition

John Campbell and Michelle Gavin track political and security developments across sub-Saharan Africa.

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Migrants crossing the Sahara desert into Libya ride on the back of a pickup truck outside Agadez, Niger, on May 9, 2016. Joe Penney/Reuters

African Migration Across the Sahara Is Down

There is extensive media attention given to migration from North Africa to Europe across the Mediterranean. These stories are accompanied by regular reports on the rescue of migrants from sinking boats, issues concerning their reception in Europe, and their impact on European politics. The BBC usefully has called attention to the likely larger and more deadly flow of migrants across the Sahara. The report is primarily based on anecdotes obtained from on-the-ground reporting. Read More

January 22, 2019

Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: January 12–18

Below is a visualization and description of some of the most significant incidents of political violence in Nigeria from January 12 to 18, 2019. This update also represents violence related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger. These incidents will be included in the Nigeria Security Tracker.  

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January 18, 2019

UPDATE: The Numbers Behind Sectarian Violence in Nigeria

This blog post has been updated with data for the entire calendar year 2018.  Has sectarian violence in the Middle Belt increased significantly in 2018? If so, has it eclipsed the Boko Haram conflict? On December 20, 2018, we published year-to-date data. Below we publish data for the entire year of 2018. 

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January 17, 2019

Zimbabwe Is in Crisis. Its President Is Sending His Thoughts and Prayers.

This week’s alarming developments in Zimbabwe have prompted a curious response from President Emmerson Mnangagwa. A massive popular protest against fuel price increases, fed by broader frustration with an economy crippled by a currency crisis and decades of mismanagement, tipped into violence as security forces responded with a heavy hand, arresting over 600 people, leaving eight dead, and dozens injured.

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