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August 24, 2009

Monetary Policy
2009.8.10.OilImportBillBreakeven3.0 Iran

This chart plots oil prices against Iran’s estimated import bill “break-even” oil price — the price below which Iran either had, or would have had, to find sources of hard currency other than oil e…

May 8, 2018

Iran
U.S. President Donald Trump announces his decision to withdraw the U.S. from the Iran nuclear agreement. United States to Leave the Iran Deal

The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) and Foreign Affairs offer resources and analysis on the significance of the U.S. exit from the Iran nuclear agreement, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of …

May 8, 2018

Iran Nuclear Agreement
Kerry-Zarif-RTX22N89.jpg The Impact of the Iran Nuclear Agreement

President Trump’s decision to withdraw from the Iran deal jeopardizes the unprecedented visibility international inspectors now have into Iran’s nuclear program.

April 30, 2018

Women and Women's Rights
Women wait for a bus in central Tehran, Iran Women This Week: Insurrection in Iran

Welcome to “Women Around the World: This Week,” a series that highlights noteworthy news related to women and U.S. foreign policy. This week’s post, covering April 23 to April 30, was compiled with s…

May 25, 2018

Iran
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to reporters after signing a proclamation declaring his intention to withdraw from the JCPOA Iran nuclear agreement in the Diplomatic Room at the White House in Washington, U.S. May 8, 2018. The Complicated Geopolitics of U.S. Oil Sanctions on Iran

It is often said, perhaps with some hyperbole, that Iran’s nuclear deal with world powers was the best hope for conflict resolution in the Middle East. Its architect John Kerry argues instead that th…

May 24, 2018

North Korea
On North Korea, Iran, and Trump

The cancellation of the US/North Korea meeting begins, in my view, with the JCPOA. Logic suggests that what Kim really wanted from the new administration was a JCPOA of his own. That is, he wanted…

May 9, 2018

Iran Nuclear Agreement
John Bolton Iran Nuclear Deal Iran: Keep Your Finger Off the Cyber Button

Tehran could respond to the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal with cyber operations against U.S. companies. If it does, that might give the hawks in the White House the excuse they need to t…

May 4, 2018

Iran Nuclear Agreement Nuclear Agreement
President Trump speaks about the Iran nuclear agreement at the White House in October 2017. How Sanctions Decision Could Jeopardize the Iran Agreement

Iran could restart aspects of its nuclear program if President Trump declines to renew sanctions waivers this month, leaving major powers with few options for monitoring or restricting it.

May 9, 2018

Iran
U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear agreement Trump Pulled Out of the Iran Deal. What Now?

In any future talks on the nuclear program, the United States can’t exclude Iran’s regional behavior from consideration.

January 4, 2018

Iran
A gas flare on an oil production platform is seen alongside an Iranian flag in the Gulf July 25, 2005. Oil and the Iran Protests

It doesn’t take much these days to remind oil traders that Middle East geopolitical risk can raise oil prices. Unrest in Iranian cities is the latest case in point. News and video records of major pr…